Budget

The federal deficit in 2025 was $1.8 trillion, equal to 5.8 percent of gross domestic product.

CBO provides information about how the recent Supreme Court ruling on tariffs affects the agency's budget projections.

Members of Congress have asked what might cause deficits and debt over the next 10 years to be lower than CBO has projected. CBO's Director recaps his answers to their questions about economic growth, revenues, and spending.

In lieu of publishing a report providing CBO's latest long-term budget outlook, the agency is publishing the data that it would have presented in that report.

In CBO's projections, the federal budget deficit in fiscal year 2026 is $1.9 trillion, and federal debt rises to 120 percent of GDP in 2036. Economic growth strengthens in 2026 and moderates in later years.

CBO announces what to expect in the coming weeks as the agency begins the new calendar year with a series of reports that offers updated insights into the nation's demographic trends, economic outlook, and budgetary conditions.

In response to a request from Chairman Jodey Arrington, CBO provides a qualitative analysis of the effects of the government shutdown on federal employment, real GDP, the labor market, business activity and income, and tourism.

CBO estimates that permanently extending the expanded premium tax credit, nullifying a marketplace final rule, and repealing policies in the 2025 reconciliation act would increase deficits and the number of people with health insurance.

CBO estimates that Public Law 119-21 will raise debt-service costs by $718 billion over the 2025–2034 period and increase the cumulative effect on the deficit to $4.1 trillion.

CBO estimates that enacting H.R. 1 and making 16 tax provisions within H.R. 1 permanent would raise debt-service costs by $687 billion over the 2025–2034 period and increase the bill's cumulative deficit effect to $4.5 trillion.

CBO estimates that debt-service costs under H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, would total $551 billion over the 2025–2034 period—increasing the bill's cumulative effect on the deficit to $3.0 trillion.

Throughout the reconciliation process, CBO, in collaboration with the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation, assists the Congress by providing nonpartisan analysis and cost estimates for legislative proposals.

Extending the 10-year budget projections it published on January 17, 2025, CBO projects that federal debt held by the public, boosted by sustained deficits, will grow far beyond any previously recorded level over the next 30 years.

CBO estimates that if the debt limit remains unchanged, the government’s ability to borrow using established "extraordinary measures" will probably be exhausted in August or September 2025.

The federal deficit in 2024 was $1.8 trillion, equal to 6.4 percent of gross domestic product.

To show how variations in economic conditions might affect its budget projections, CBO analyzed how revenues, outlays, and deficits might change if the values of key economic variables differed from those in the agency’s forecast.

In CBO’s projections, the federal budget deficit is $1.9 trillion this year, and federal debt rises to 118 percent of GDP in 2035. Economic growth slows and inflation declines over the next two years; both remain moderate after 2026.

CBO periodically issues a compendium of policy options and their estimated effects on the federal budget. This report presents 76 options for altering spending or revenues to reduce federal budget deficits over the next decade.

CBO and JCT have estimated the effects on revenues and spending of many of the President’s budgetary proposals. This report builds on an earlier one that focused on the President’s proposals for discretionary spending.

CBO describes the discretionary spending proposals in the President’s 2025 budget and compares them with CBO’s most recent baseline budget projections, which span the years from 2024 to 2034.

CBO provides information about how its most recent budget projections would change under different assumptions about future legislated policies.

CBO projects that if the debt limit remains unchanged, there is a significant risk that at some point in the first two weeks of June, the government will no longer be able to pay all of its obligations.

The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires CBO to prepare estimates of the cost of legislation at certain points in the legislative process. This document provides answers to questions about how CBO prepares those cost estimates.

The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires CBO to produce an annual report on federal spending, revenues, and deficits or surpluses. This document provides answers to questions about how CBO prepares those baseline budget projections.

This guide briefly explains—in plain language—the differences between some common budgetary terms.

From the end of 2008 to 2019, the amount of federal debt held by the public nearly tripled. This report describes federal debt, various ways to measure it, CBO’s projections for the coming decade, and the consequences of its growth.