Economy
- Blog Post
Coming Soon From CBO: Selected Reports and Analyses
CBO announces the release schedule for several publications next month that provide updated information on the federal budget, demographic trends, and the short-term economic outlook.
- Working Paper
A Survey-Based Shifting-Endpoint Dynamic Term Structure Model of Interest Rates: Working Paper 2025-03
This working paper presents a dynamic term structure model of interest rates that features a shifting endpoint and incorporates survey forecasts of interest rates to sharpen the model’s implied forecasts and estimate trend interest rates.
- Report
Preliminary Analysis of How Federal Investment in Nondefense Research and Development Affects the Economy and the Federal Budget
CBO examined the economic and budgetary effects of two illustrative scenarios in which federal funding for nondefense research and development is increased by $30 billion per year for the next 10 years.
- Blog Post
Recent Speaking Engagements
CBO's Director, Phillip Swagel, highlights his recent speaking engagements and the topics he discussed.
- Cost Estimate
H.R. 1469, Senior Security Act of 2025
As reported by the House Committee on Financial Services on June 3, 2025
- Cost Estimate
H.R. 3339, Equal Opportunity for All Investors Act of 2025
As reported by the House Committee on Financial Services on June 3, 2025
- Cost Estimate
H.R. 3357, Enhancing Multi-Class Share Disclosures Act
As reported by the House Committee on House Financial Services on June 3, 2025
- Cost Estimate
H.R. 3382, Small Entity Update Act
As reported by the House Committee on Financial Services on June 3, 2025
- Presentation
CBO's Economic Forecast: Understanding Productivity Growth
Presentation by Aaron Betz, an analyst in CBO's Macroeconomic Analysis Division, at the NABE Foundation's 22nd Annual Economic Measurement Seminar.
- Report
CBO's Economic Forecasting Record: 2025 Update
CBO assesses its two-year and five-year economic forecasts from as early as 1976 and compares them with those of the Administration, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Blue Chip consensus.