Employment and Labor Markets
- Presentation
The 2020 Budget and Economic Outlook
Presentation by Phillip Swagel, CBO’s Director, to the Tax Council Policy Institute.
- Presentation
An Overview of The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2020 to 2030
In CBO’s current-law projections, deficits remain large by historical standards, federal debt grows to 98 percent of GDP by 2030, and the economy expands at an average annual rate of 1.7 percent from 2021 to 2030.
- Report
How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget: 2020 to 2030
To show how the federal budget might be affected if economic conditions differed from those in its current economic forecast, CBO has developed “rules of thumb” that provide a sense of how changes in four key economic variables would affect revenues, outlays, and deficits.
- Interactive
Workbook for How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget, February 2020
This workbook allows users to enter an alternative scenario for productivity growth, labor force growth, inflation, or interest rates and see estimates of revenues, several types of spending, and deficits under those scenarios.
- Report
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2020 to 2030
In CBO’s projections of the outlook under current law, deficits remain large by historical standards, federal debt grows to 98 percent of GDP by 2030, and the economy expands at an average annual rate of 1.7 percent from 2021 to 2030.
- Presentation
A Presentation About Approaches to Changing Military Compensation
Presentation by Carla Tighe Murray, a consultant to CBO and former senior analyst for CBO’s National Security Division, to the Military Manpower Roundtable.
- Report
Approaches to Changing Military Compensation
This report examines military compensation and its effects on recruitment, retention, and motivation. CBO also provides a comparison with civilian compensation packages and examines five possible approaches for altering the way that DoD compensates military personnel.
- Report
The Foreign-Born Population and Its Effects on the U.S. Economy and the Federal Budget—An Overview
Immigration increases total economic output, though not necessarily output per capita. It also affects the federal budget through the taxes that foreign-born people pay and the government programs in which they participate.
- Presentation
The Effect of Employer Matching and Defaults on Workers’ TSP Savings Behavior
Presentation by Justin Falk and Nadia Karamcheva, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies Division, at the Allied Social Sciences Association’s Annual Meeting.
- Presentation
The Effects of Increasing the Federal Minimum Wage on Employment and Family Income
Presentation by William Carrington, an analyst in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies Division, to the Department of Economics at Haverford College.