Employment and Labor Markets
- Interactive
How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget, 2026 to 2036: An Interactive Tool
This tool allows users to define and analyze alternative economic scenarios and see how federal revenues, outlays, and deficits and debt under those scenarios might differ from outcomes in CBO's 10-year budget projections.
- Report
How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget: 2026 to 2036
To show how economic conditions affect its budget projections, CBO analyzed how revenues, outlays, and deficits might change if the values of key economic variables differed from those in the agency's forecast.
- Cost Estimate
H.R. 7256, Federal Workforce Early Separation Incentives Act of 2026
As ordered reported by the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform on February 4, 2026
- Cost Estimate
H.R. 6086, Aviation Funding Solvency Act
As ordered reported by the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure on December 18, 2025
- Working Paper
Key Methods That CBO Used to Estimate the Macroeconomic Effects of the 2025 Reconciliation Act: Working Paper 2026-01
The 2025 reconciliation act included a wide range of provisions that affect policies governing federal revenues and spending. This working paper describes the key methods that CBO used to estimate the law's macroeconomic effects.
- Report
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036
In CBO's projections, the federal budget deficit in fiscal year 2026 is $1.9 trillion, and federal debt rises to 120 percent of GDP in 2036. Economic growth strengthens in 2026 and moderates in later years.
- Presentation
The Economic Outlook for 2026 to 2036 in 17 Slides
CBO highlights its key findings about the outlook for the economy as described in "The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036."
- Report
The Opioid Crisis: Federal Policy Approaches to Reduce Supply, Demand, and Harm
CBO describes three types of policy approaches to address the ongoing opioid crisis and assesses their effectiveness and likely budgetary effects.
- Report
CBO's Current View of the Economy From 2026 to 2028
CBO provides details about its latest projections of the economy through 2028. Those projections were finalized on December 3, 2025.
- Report
A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of the Government Shutdown on the Economy Under Three Scenarios, as of October 29, 2025
CBO estimates the effects on the economy of a government shutdown that ends after four weeks, six weeks, and eight weeks.