Employment and Labor Markets
- Report
The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036
In CBO's projections, the federal budget deficit in fiscal year 2026 is $1.9 trillion, and federal debt rises to 120 percent of GDP in 2036. Economic growth strengthens in 2026 and moderates in later years.
- Presentation
The Economic Outlook for 2026 to 2036 in 17 Slides
CBO highlights its key findings about the outlook for the economy as described in "The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036."
- Report
The Opioid Crisis: Federal Policy Approaches to Reduce Supply, Demand, and Harm
CBO describes three types of policy approaches to address the ongoing opioid crisis and assesses their effectiveness and likely budgetary effects.
- Report
CBO's Current View of the Economy From 2026 to 2028
CBO provides details about its latest projections of the economy through 2028. Those projections were finalized on December 3, 2025.
- Report
A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of the Government Shutdown on the Economy Under Three Scenarios, as of October 29, 2025
CBO estimates the effects on the economy of a government shutdown that ends after four weeks, six weeks, and eight weeks.
- Report
A Qualitative Analysis of the Effects of the Government Shutdown on the Economy as of October 17, 2025
In response to a request from Chairman Jodey Arrington, CBO provides a qualitative analysis of the effects of the government shutdown on federal employment, real GDP, the labor market, business activity and income, and tourism.
- Report
Potential Effects of a Federal Government Shutdown
CBO assesses the possible effects of a government shutdown on the pay of federal employees and describes possible effects on the economy, business activity, procurements and contracts, and the operation of national parks and monuments.
- Report
CBO's Current View of the Economy From 2025 to 2028
CBO provides details about its latest economic projections through 2028, which reflect several substantial changes in federal policy and economic developments that have occurred this year.
- Presentation
CBO's Current View of the Economy in 14 Slides
This slide deck supplements information presented in the report CBO's Current View of the Economy From 2025 to 2028.
- Presentation
Dynamic Analysis of Changes to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) in H.R. 1
This slide deck describes the main mechanisms in CBO's dynamic analysis of H.R. 1, explains the changes to SNAP, and explains the macroeconomic effects and budgetary feedback of those changes.