Explaining Analytical Methods
- Report
Flood Damage and Federally Backed Mortgages in a Changing Climate
CBO estimates the flood damage homes with federally backed mortgages are expected to face in multiyear periods centered on 2020 and 2050, reflecting the effects of climate change. The agency also analyzes where that damage is concentrated.
- Report
DECKPLATE and AMSRR: Comparing Two Ways to Measure the Availability of F/A-18E/F Super Hornet Aircraft
Two Navy databases, DECKPLATE and AMSRR, track aircraft availability. Looking at Super Hornet aircraft, CBO found AMSRR’s availability rates better predict actual flying hours. DECKPLATE’s predictions are similar if data errors are fixed.
- Report
Financial Commitments of Federal Credit and Insurance Programs, 2012 to 2021
CBO describes the commitments the federal government has made through its credit and insurance programs, including housing, real estate, and student loan programs, deposit insurance, insurance for private pensions, and flood and crop insurance.
- Report
How CBO Analyzes Public-Private Risk Sharing in Insurance Markets
CBO outlines how it analyzes public-private risk sharing in the federal terrorism insurance, crop insurance, and flood insurance programs. The agency also describes how that risk sharing affects the federal budget.
- Report
Army Corps of Engineers: Budgetary History and Projections
CBO examines trends in funding and spending for the Army Corps of Engineers and explains how CBO treats that agency’s activities in its baseline and cost estimates.
- Report
FEMA’s Disaster Relief Fund: Budgetary History and Projections
CBO examines trends in funding and spending for the Federal Emergency Management Agency's Disaster Relief Fund and provides information about how CBO treats that program in its baseline and cost estimates.
- Working Paper
Federal Reinsurance for Terrorism Risk and Its Effects on the Budget: Working Paper 2020-04
This paper describes CBO’s methods for estimating the costs of the federal terrorism risk insurance program. It also discusses how estimates of the program’s budgetary effects would differ if they were produced using accrual-based measures rather than cash-based measures.
- Report
Expected Costs of Damage From Hurricane Winds and Storm-Related Flooding
Expected annual economic losses from most types of damage caused by hurricane winds and storm-related flooding total $54 billion—$34 billion in losses to households, $9 billion to commercial businesses, and $12 billion to the public sector.