Social Security
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Additional Information About the Budget Outlook: 2021 to 2031
This document provides additional information about the baseline budget projections that CBO released on February 11, 2021.
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The 2021 Long-Term Budget Outlook
CBO presents its projections of the federal budget for the next 30 years if current laws governing taxes and spending generally did not change. Growth in revenues would be outpaced by growth in spending, leading to rising deficits and debt.
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The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031
If current laws governing taxes and spending generally remain unchanged, CBO projects, in 2021, the federal budget deficit will total $2.3 trillion, federal debt will reach 102 percent of GDP, and real GDP will grow by 3.7 percent.
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The Budgetary Effects of the Raise the Wage Act of 2021
If the Raise the Wage Act of 2021 was enacted in March 2021, the cumulative budget deficit over the 2021–2031 period would increase by $54 billion.
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The National Average Wage Index in 2020
In this letter, CBO responds to a question about the national average wage index, which is used in the calculation of Social Security benefits.
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Answers to Questions for the Record Following a Hearing on CBO’s Budget Projections Conducted by the Subcommittee on Fiscal Responsibility and Economic Growth of the Senate Committee on Finance
The Subcommittee on Fiscal Responsibility and Economic Growth of the Senate Committee on Finance convened a hearing at which Director Phillip Swagel testified. This document provides CBO’s answers to questions submitted for the record.
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CBO's 2020 Long-Term Projections for Social Security: Additional Information
In lieu of publishing a separate report providing additional information about CBO’s long-term projections for Social Security, the agency is publishing the data that it would have presented in that report.
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Options for Reducing the Deficit: 2021 to 2030
CBO periodically issues a compendium of policy options and their effects on the federal budget. This document provides estimates of the budgetary savings from 83 options that would decrease federal spending or increase federal revenues.
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The 2020 Long-Term Budget Outlook
CBO presents its projections of what federal deficits, debt, spending, and revenues would be for the next 30 years if current laws governing taxes and spending generally did not change.
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An Update to the Budget Outlook: 2020 to 2030
CBO projects a federal budget deficit of $3.3 trillion in 2020, more than triple the shortfall recorded in 2019, mostly because of the economic disruption caused by the 2020 coronavirus pandemic and the enactment of legislation in response.