Explaining Analytical Methods
- Interactive
How Increasing the Federal Minimum Wage Could Affect Employment and Family Income
This interactive tool, updated in January 30, 2024, allows users to explore how various policies to increase the federal minimum wage would affect earnings, employment, family income, and poverty.
- Presentation
Exploring the Effects of Medicaid During Childhood on the Economy and the Budget
Presentation by Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang of CBO’s Labor, Income Security, and Long-Term Analysis and Health Analysis divisions to the Children’s Health Group, American Academy of Pediatrics.
- Working Paper
Exploring the Effects of Medicaid During Childhood on the Economy and the Budget: Working Paper 2023-07
On a present-value basis, CBO estimates that long-term fiscal effects of Medicaid spending on children could offset half or more of the program’s initial outlays, depending on sets of reasonable parameter values.
- Report
Federal Budgetary Effects of the Activities of the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation
CBO estimates that the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation’s (CMMI’s) activities increased federal spending between 2011 and 2020 and will also increase it from 2021 to 2030. In 2010, CBO projected that CMMI would produce savings.
- Report
The Medicare and Medicaid Improvement Funds: Budgetary History and Projections
CBO describes features of the Medicare and Medicaid improvement funds and how the funds are accounted for in CBO’s baseline and cost estimates.
- Working Paper
The Effects of Work Requirements on the Employment and Income of TANF Participants: Working Paper 2023-03
This working paper examines how Alabama’s recent expansion of its TANF work requirement to the parents of children between the ages of 6 months and 11 months affects their employment and income.
- Working Paper
The Welfare Effects of Debt: Crowding Out and Risk Shifting: Working Paper 2022-10
This paper extends a 2019 analysis by Olivier Blanchard by separating total estimated welfare effects of debt into crowding-out and risk-shifting components and estimates the effects of those components under alternative assumptions about technology and preferences.
- Working Paper
Current Work on the Distributional Analysis of Household Income Resulting From Policy Changes: Working Paper 2022-09
This paper introduces a standardized framework to analyze how policy changes alter the distribution of household income to complement CBO’s analyses of policy changes’ budgetary and economic effects.
- Presentation
Economic Effects of Expanding Home- and Community-Based Services in Medicaid
The Build Back Better Act includes provisions that would result in new federal spending for home- and community-based services (HCBS) provided by Medicaid. Those provisions would affect states, caregivers, and people who use HCBS.
- Presentation
Economic Effects of Expanding Subsidized Child Care and Providing Universal Preschool
The Build Back Better Act would expand federal subsidies for child care and provide universal preschool at no cost for eligible children. Those policies would affect child care workers (including teachers) and families with children.