Methods for Analyzing Health Insurance Coverage
- Report
Federal Subsidies for Health Insurance: 2023 to 2033
In 2023, federal subsidies for health insurance are estimated to be $1.8 trillion, or 7.0 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). In CBO and JCT’s projections, those net subsidies reach $3.3 trillion, or 8.3 percent of GDP, in 2033.
- Blog Post
CBO Publishes New Health Insurance Coverage Projections for 2023 to 2033
CBO released updated projections of health insurance coverage for people under age 65 in the journal Health Affairs.
- Report
Federal Subsidies for Health Insurance Coverage for People Under 65: 2022 to 2032
In CBO and JCT’s projections, net federal subsidies in 2022 for insured people under age 65 are $997 billion. In 2032, that annual amount is projected to reach $1.6 trillion.
- Working Paper
Economic Effects of Five Illustrative Single-Payer Health Care Systems: Working Paper 2022-02
CBO used a general-equilibrium, overlapping-generations model to analyze the economic and distributional implications of five illustrative single-payer health care systems. The working paper builds on previous CBO studies about single-payer health care systems.
- Working Paper
Data and Methods for Constructing Synthetic Firms in CBO’s Health Insurance Simulation Model, HISIM2: Working Paper 2021-15
This paper discusses how CBO constructs “synthetic firms”—businesses composed of artificial groups of workers—used in the agency’s health insurance simulation model, or HISIM2, which underlies projections of insurance coverage.
- Presentation
Data and Methods for Constructing Synthetic Firms in CBO’s Health Insurance Simulation Model, HISIM2
Presentation by Ben Hopkins, an analyst in CBO’s Health Analysis Division, to the International Microsimulation Association.
- Presentation
HISIM2: The Health Insurance Simulation Model Used in Preparing CBO’s July 2021 Baseline Budget Projections
HISIM2 is an updated version of the model CBO uses to generate estimates of health insurance coverage and premiums for people under age 65.
- Report
A Public Option for Health Insurance in the Nongroup Marketplaces: Key Design Considerations and Implications
CBO describes the key design considerations for a federally administered nongroup health insurance plan—often referred to as a public option—and some of their major implications.
- Blog Post
How CBO Analyzes Proposals for a Single-Payer Health Care System
CBO explains how it analyzes proposals for single-payer health care systems that would be based on Medicare’s fee-for-service program.
- Working Paper
How CBO Analyzes the Costs of Proposals for Single-Payer Health Care Systems That Are Based on Medicare’s Fee-for-Service Program: Working Paper 2020-08
CBO describes the methods it has developed to analyze the federal budgetary costs of proposals for single-payer health care systems that are based on the Medicare fee-for-service program.