Outlook for the Budget and the Economy

  • Report

    The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2014 to 2024

    Under current law, deficits will drop through 2015 but rise thereafter, boosting the already high federal debt, CBO projects. Economic growth will be solid in the near term, but unemployment will not drop below 6.0 percent until 2017.

  • Report

    The Slow Recovery of the Labor Market

    Since the recession ended in June 2009, employment has risen sluggishly and the unemployment rate has fallen only partway back to its prerecession level. This CBO report discusses the reasons for the slow recovery of the labor market.

  • Report

    Choices for Deficit Reduction: An Update

    Federal debt is projected to rise significantly over the long term. What policy changes could reduce future deficits and thus lower the trajectory of federal debt? What criteria might be used to evaluate those policy changes?

  • Data and Technical Information

    Effect of the Automatic Spending Reductions in CBO's May 2013 Baseline

    Effect of the Automatic Spending Reductions

  • Presentation

    Overview of the Federal Budget

    Presentation by Jeff Holland, Chief, Projections Unit, at the National Conference of State Legislatures

  • Report

    Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, November 2013

    Under current law, after February 7, 2014, the Treasury would have no room to borrow and would need to use its so-called extraordinary measures—which could be exhausted as early as March but might last until May or early June.

  • Blog Post

    Meeting with the Budget Conference Committee

    Director Doug Elmendorf met with the budget conference committee to review the economic and budget outlook and to answer questions from the conferees.

  • Presentation

    Presentation to the Budget Conference Committee

    Presentation by Doug Elmendorf, Director, to the Budget Conference Committee Led by Chairman Paul Ryan of the House Budget Committee and Chairman Patty Murray of the Senate Budget Committee

  • Blog Post

    How the Actual Federal Budget Results for 2013 Compared With CBO’s May 2013 Estimates

    On October 30, the Treasury Department reported that the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2013 totaled $680 billion, $38 billion more than CBO estimated in its most recent baseline in May.

  • Graphic

    Snapshot of Corporate Income Tax Receipts

    Since 2008, corporate income tax receipts have been smaller, relative to the size of the economy, than their historical average of 1.9 percent of GDP—largely because the recent recession substantially reduced taxable corporate profits.