Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
- Working Paper
How CBO Estimates Automatic Stabilizers: Working Paper 2015-07
Federal receipts and certain federal outlays regularly respond to cyclical movements in the economy. CBO released a working paper on how it estimates the size of those automatic stabilizers, for both past years and future years.
- Report
CBO’s Revenue Forecasting Record
CBO's revenue projections since 1982 have, on average, been a bit too high—more so for projections spanning six years than for those spanning two—but their overall accuracy has been similar to that of the projections of other agencies.
- Blog Post
Recent Presentations on CBO’s Budget Projections
CBO Director Keith Hall spoke to the Board of Trustees for the Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation about CBO’s latest long-term projections.
- Presentation
The Budget Outlook for 2015 to 2025 in 18 Slides
Presentation by Keith Hall, CBO Director, to the American Business Conference.
- Report
Updated Information About Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit
In CBO’s updated analysis, extraordinary measures for borrowing additional funds without breaching the debt ceiling will be exhausted and the Treasury’s cash balance is likely to fall below $30 billion in the first few days of November.
- Blog Post
CBO Releases Updated Report on the Debt Limit
If the debt limit remains unchanged, CBO projects, the Treasury’s cash balance will be entirely depleted sometime in the first half of November, at which time the government would be unable to fully pay its obligations.
- Report
Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, October 2015
If the debt limit remains unchanged, CBO projects, the Treasury’s cash balance will be entirely depleted sometime in the first half of November, at which time the government would be unable to fully pay its obligations.
- Presentation
CBO’s Assessment of the Long-Term Outlook for Interest Rates
Presentation by Wendy Edelberg, CBO’s Assistant Director for Macroeconomic Analysis, at the Social Security Trustees Working Group
- Report
CBO’s Projections of Federal Receipts and Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts
How do CBO's projections of federal receipts and expenditures in the national income and product accounts compare with CBO's baseline projections of revenues and outlays in the federal budget?
- Presentation
CBO’s Updated Projections for the Federal Budget and the Economy
Presentation by Keith Hall, CBO Director, at the Macroeconomic Advisers’ 25th Annual Washington Policy Seminar.