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- Working Paper
CBO uses the budgetary feedback model (BFM) to estimate how changes in the macroeconomy might affect the federal budget. This paper describes how the BFM is constructed, how it is used in CBO's dynamic analyses, and the model's limitations.
- Working Paper
The costs of federal activities are recorded in the budget mostly on a cash basis. Using accrual accounting for retirement and insurance programs would accelerate the recognition of long-term costs and display the expected costs of new commitments when they were incurred.
- Working Paper
On average over the long term, each increase of 1 percentage point in federal debt as a percentage of GDP boosts interest rates by 2 to 3 basis points, CBO estimates.
- Working Paper
This paper examines various factors that affect estimates made by CBO and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation of the budgetary savings from tax compliance proposals.
- Working Paper
This paper shows that considering an aging population is important in analyzing long-term policy changes that involve intergenerational transfers.
- Working Paper
This working paper models decisions about purchasing annuities in a context in which individuals learn new information about their health status over time.
- Working Paper
The Earned Income Tax Credit and Expected Social Security Retirement Benefits Among Low-Income Women
- Working Paper
This paper examines changes in Social Security that have been proposed as ways to reduce poverty among elderly women.
- Working Paper
This paper presents the latest generational accounts and lifetime net tax rates for the United States.
- Working Paper
Social Security privatization is now receiving much attention in policy circles.