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CBO provides information about how its most recent budget projections would change under different assumptions about future legislated policies.
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To show how variations in economic conditions might affect its budget projections, CBO analyzed how revenues, outlays, and deficits might change if the values of key economic variables differed from those in the agency’s forecast.
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CBO estimates that the effects on mandatory spending and revenues of laws enacted in 2023 will reduce the deficit by $10 billion from 2023 to 2033—the net result of a $12 billion decrease in outlays and a $2 billion decrease in revenues.
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The House Committee on the Budget convened a hearing at which Phillip L. Swagel, CBO's Director, testified. This document provides CBO’s answers to questions submitted for the record.
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The federal budget deficit increases significantly in relation to gross domestic product over the next 30 years, in CBO’s projections, pushing federal debt held by the public far beyond any previously recorded level.
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CBO describes how funding for the IRS affects CBO’s revenue projections and how CBO estimates the revenue effects of rescissions of such funding. CBO also estimates the budgetary effects of rescinding varying amounts of the IRS’s funding.
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CBO’s Director, Phillip Swagel, testifies before the House Budget Committee.
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In CBO’s projections, federal budget deficits total $20 trillion over the 2025–2034 period and federal debt held by the public reaches 116 percent of GDP. Economic growth slows to 1.5 percent in 2024 and then continues at a moderate pace.
- Cost Estimate
As reported by the House Committee on Ways and Means on January 18, 2024
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CBO Director Phillip Swagel testifies before the House Committee on the Budget.