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- Presentation
This slide deck outlines the models CBO uses to assess the budgetary effects of alternative economic scenarios such as those presented in CBO’s Current View of the Economy in 2023 and 2024 and the Budgetary Implications (November 2022).
- Presentation
This slide deck describes how CBO used a Markov-switching model to assess the uncertainty of the economic forecast presented in CBO’s Current View of the Economy in 2023 and 2024 and the Budgetary Implications (November 2022).
- Presentation
Estimating the Uncertainty of the Economic Forecast Using CBO’s Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model
This slide deck describes how CBO used a Bayesian vector autoregression model to assess the uncertainty of the economic forecast presented in CBO’s Current View of the Economy in 2023 and 2024 and the Budgetary Implications (November 2022).
- Presentation
Presentation by Phillip Swagel, CBO’s Director, at the Spring 2022 Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Conference.
- Presentation
Presentation by Justin Riordan, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, at the annual conference of the Association for Budgeting and Financial Management.
- Presentation
Presentation by Justin Riordan, an analyst in CBO’s Budget Analysis Division, at the American Association of Budget and Policy Analysis Spring 2019 Symposium.