Explaining Analytical Methods
- Presentation
How CBO Projects Tariff Revenues
CBO describes how it projects tariff revenues and explains how, and when, it produces estimates of the effects of changes in tariff rates.
- Report
Answers to Questions for the Record Following a Hearing on The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034
The House Committee on the Budget convened a hearing at which Phillip L. Swagel, CBO's Director, testified. This document provides CBO’s answers to questions submitted for the record.
- Presentation
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Considerations From the Congressional Budget Office
Presentation by Noelia Duchovny, an analyst in CBO’s Health Analysis Division, at the National Academies’ Roundtable on Obesity Solutions.
- Report
Effects of No GDP Growth on Federal Deficits
CBO was asked what the effects on federal deficits would be if the economy was stagnant over two years. The agency created two scenarios with no growth of gross domestic product adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.
- Presentation
Exploring the Effects of Medicaid During Childhood on the Economy and the Budget
Presentation by Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang of CBO’s Labor, Income Security, and Long-Term Analysis and Health Analysis divisions to the Children’s Health Group, American Academy of Pediatrics.
- Report
Administrative Costs of Federal Credit Programs
To assess the full costs of federal loans and loan guarantees, CBO has developed a method for estimating the present value of the lifetime administrative costs of certain federal credit programs.
- Working Paper
Conditional Forecasting With a Bayesian Vector Autoregression: Working Paper 2023-08
This paper describes how CBO uses a Bayesian vector autoregression method to generate alternative economic projections to the agency’s baseline.
- Working Paper
Exploring the Effects of Medicaid During Childhood on the Economy and the Budget: Working Paper 2023-07
On a present-value basis, CBO estimates that long-term fiscal effects of Medicaid spending on children could offset half or more of the program’s initial outlays, depending on sets of reasonable parameter values.
- Presentation
How CBO Projects Corporate Income Tax Revenues
CBO describes how it projects corporate income tax revenues, focusing on how it maps economic projections of corporate profits to projections of the corporate income tax base.
- Report
Federal Budgetary Effects of the Activities of the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation
CBO estimates that the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation’s (CMMI’s) activities increased federal spending between 2011 and 2020 and will also increase it from 2021 to 2030. In 2010, CBO projected that CMMI would produce savings.