Modeling the Demand for Electric Vehicles and the Supply of Charging Stations in the United States: Working Paper 2023-06

This paper presents a simulation model of the markets for light-duty electric vehicles and the associated public charging infrastructure, as well as the network interactions between them.

Effects of Fiscal Policy on Inflation: Implications of Supply Disruptions and Economic Slack: Working Paper 2023-05

This paper provides evidence that supply disruptions, low economic slack, and the interaction of restrained supply with low slack each amplify the effects of expansionary fiscal policies on inflation.

The U.S. Dollar as an International Currency and Its Economic Effects: Working Paper 2023-04

The U.S. dollar’s status as an international currency has contributed to persistent U.S. trade deficits and, by lowering interest rates, to increased access to credit for U.S. households, businesses, and the federal government.

The Effects of Work Requirements on the Employment and Income of TANF Participants: Working Paper 2023-03

This working paper examines how Alabama’s recent expansion of its TANF work requirement to the parents of children between the ages of 6 months and 11 months affects their employment and income.

Defined Benefit and Defined Contribution Plans and the Distribution of Family Wealth: Working Paper 2023-02

Using data from 1989 through 2019, the paper examines how changes in retirement wealth, including those stemming from the shift from defined benefit to defined contribution plans, affect measures of wealth concentration.

"Lesser-of" Payment Policies and the Use of Physicians' Services Among Dual-Eligible Beneficiaries: Working Paper 2023-01

This paper examines the effects of physician payment reductions on the use of physicians' services by dual-eligible beneficiaries—people enrolled in both Medicare and Medicaid—over the 1999–2012 period.

The Welfare Effects of Debt: Crowding Out and Risk Shifting: Working Paper 2022-10

This paper extends a 2019 analysis by Olivier Blanchard by separating total estimated welfare effects of debt into crowding-out and risk-shifting components and estimates the effects of those components under alternative assumptions about technology and preferences.

Current Work on the Distributional Analysis of Household Income Resulting From Policy Changes: Working Paper 2022-09

This paper introduces a standardized framework to analyze how policy changes alter the distribution of household income to complement CBO’s analyses of policy changes’ budgetary and economic effects.

The Congressional Budget Office’s Small-Scale Policy Model: Working Paper 2022-08

CBO's small-scale policy model determines in one model the short-run demand-driven responses and long-run supply-driven responses to policy changes. It also makes short- and long-run responses depend on the fiscal policy under study.

Quantifying the Uncertainty of Long-Term Economic Projections: Working Paper 2022-07

This paper presents a practical method for assessing the uncertainty of long-term economic projections.