H.R. 8169 would amend the Export Control Reform Act of 2018 to allow federal agencies to expedite consideration of modifications to the Entity List, which specifies foreign entities that are subject to export license requirements. H.R. 8169 also would establish a presumption of denial for any export license application involving foreign individuals, companies, or organizations added to the Entity List under the authorities provided by the bill.
CBO estimates that it would cost less than $500,000 over the 2026-2031 period to implement a process for expediting modifications to the Entity List. Such spending would be subject to the availability of appropriated funds.
CBO estimates that enacting H.R. 8169 would increase the number of export licenses that would be denied and thus also would increase the number of people who would be subject to civil or criminal penalties for violating U.S. export laws. Such penalties are recorded as revenues, and a portion of those penalties can be spent without further appropriation. Because CBO expects that very few additional people would be affected, CBO estimates that enacting the bill would have insignificant effects on both revenues and direct spending and would reduce net deficits by less than $500,000.
The CBO staff contact for this estimate is Aldo Prosperi. The estimate was reviewed by Christina Hawley Anthony, Deputy Director of Budget Analysis.
