Presentation about work by Daniel Crown, an analyst in CBO's Long-Term Analysis Unit, and Randall Akee, Harvard University, at Immigrants and the U.S. Economy, a National Bureau of Economic Research conference.
The assimilation of immigrants into the labor market has important implications for the economy, the federal budget, and projections of Social Security's finances.
In the forthcoming working paper on which this presentation is based, we use a longitudinal dataset covering the 1981–2021 period to:
Describe trends in immigration and emigration,
Estimate earnings assimilation over a 20-year period of tenure in the United States,
Examine differences in the rate of assimilation across arrival cohorts and sex,
Estimate earnings assimilation of eventual emigrants, and
Examine how earnings upon arrival and earnings growth vary by arrival cohort and country of birth.