As reported by the House Committee on Ways and Means on January 7, 2026
At a GlanceH.R. 227, Clergy ActAs reported by the House Committee on Ways and Means on January 7, 2026
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By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars | 2026 | 2026-2031 | 2026-2036 | ||||||||
Direct Spending (Outlays) | 0 | * | 2 | ||||||||
Revenues | 0 | 29 | 84 | ||||||||
Increase or Decrease (-) in the Deficit | 0 | -29 | -82 | ||||||||
Spending Subject to Appropriation (Outlays) | 0 | * | * | ||||||||
Increases net direct spending in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2037?
| < $2.5 billion
| Statutory pay-as-you-go procedures apply?
| Yes
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Mandate Effects
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Increases on-budget deficits in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2037?
| < $5 billion
| Contains intergovernmental mandate?
| Excluded from UMRA
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Contains private-sector mandate?
| Excluded from UMRA
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* = between zero and $500,000.
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The bill would
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Estimated budgetary effects would mainly stem from
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On This Page
Bill Summary
Estimated Federal Cost
Table 1. Estimated Budgetary Effects of H.R. 227 | |||||||||||||
By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars | |||||||||||||
2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2026-2031 | 2026-2036 | |
Increases in Direct Spending | |||||||||||||
Estimated Budget Authority | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | 2 | * | 2 |
Estimated Outlays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | 2 | * | 2 |
On-Budget Outlays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | 1 | * | 1 |
Off-Budget Outlays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | 1 | * | 1 |
Increases in Revenues | |||||||||||||
Estimated Revenues | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 84 |
On-Budget Revenues | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
Off-Budget Revenues | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 68 |
Net Decrease in the Deficit From Changes in Direct Spending and Revenues | |||||||||||||
Effect on the Deficit | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -12 | -12 | -12 | -12 | -11 | -10 | -8 | -29 | -82 |
On-Budget Deficit | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -5 | -15 |
Off-Budget Deficit | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -10 | -10 | -10 | -9 | -9 | -8 | -7 | -24 | -67 |
Increases in Spending Subject to Appropriation | |||||||||||||
Estimated Authorization | 0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Estimated Outlays | 0 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding; * = between zero and $500,000. | |||||||||||||
Basis of Estimate
The Congressional Budget Act of 1974, as amended, stipulates that revenue estimates provided by the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) are the official estimates for all tax legislation considered by the Congress. CBO therefore incorporates such estimates into its cost estimates of the effects of legislation. The revenue estimates for H.R. 227 were provided by JCT.
Direct Spending and Revenues
Using information about the number of clergy members who elected coverage under a similar provision in the Ticket to Work and Work Incentives Improvement Act of 1999, CBO and the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation estimate that roughly 3,000 clergy members would reverse their decision in 2029 or 2030. That change would result in an increase of $84 million in payroll tax revenue over the 2026-2036 period. Of that, $68 million is from additional Social Security payroll tax revenues, which are classified as off-budget, and $16 million is from additional Medicare payroll taxes, which are on-budget.
CBO estimates that outlays for Social Security and Medicare benefits would each increase by $1 million over the 2026-2036 period as a result of the reversed decisions. Most additional benefits that would result from those decisions would be paid after 2036. Social Security outlays are classified as off-budget, whereas Medicare outlays are on-budget.
Spending Subject to Appropriation
On the basis of costs of similar efforts, CBO estimates that implementing the legislation, including reporting to the Congress on efforts to inform clergy about their eligibility to elect coverage, would increase administrative costs for the Internal Revenue Service by less than $500,000. Such spending would be subject to the availability of appropriated funds.
Pay-As-You-Go Considerations
Increase in Long-Term Net Direct Spending and Deficits
CBO estimates that enacting H.R. 227 would not increase net direct spending by more than $2.5 billion in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2037.
CBO estimates that enacting H.R. 227 would not increase on‑budget deficits by more than $5 billion in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2037.
Mandates
Estimate Prepared By
Federal Costs:
Noah Meyerson (for Social Security)
Sarah Sajewski and Noah Zwiefel (for Medicare)
Revenues: Staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation
Mandates: Andrew Laughlin
Estimate Reviewed By
Elizabeth Cove Delisle
Chief, Income Security Cost Estimates Unit
Kathleen FitzGerald
Chief, Public and Private Mandates Unit
Christina Hawley Anthony
Deputy Director of Budget Analysis
Estimate Approved By

Phillip L. Swagel
Director, Congressional Budget Office