H.R. 6875, Artificial Intelligence Oversight of Verified Exports and Restrictions on Weaponizable Advanced Technology to Covered High-Risk Actors Act

February 2, 2026

Cost Estimate

As ordered reported by the House Committee on Foreign Affairs on January 21, 2026

H.R. 6875, Artificial Intelligence Oversight of Verified Exports and Restrictions on Weaponizable Advanced Technology to Covered High-Risk Actors Act As ordered reported by the House Committee on Foreign Affairs on January 21, 2026
By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars		2026	2026-2030	2026-2035
Direct Spending (Outlays)		*	*	*
Revenues		*	*	*
Increase or Decrease (-) in the Deficit		*	*	*
Spending Subject to Appropriation (Outlays)		*	2	not estimated
Increases net direct spending in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2036?	< $2.5 billion	Statutory pay-as-you-go procedures apply?		Yes
	< $2.5 billion	Mandate Effects
Increases on-budget deficits in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2036?	No	Contains intergovernmental mandate?		No
	No	Contains private-sector mandate?		No
* = between -$500,000 and $500,000.

H.R. 6875 would codify existing export controls that restrict the transfer of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) chips to foreign adversaries. The bill also would establish a Congressional review period during which the Congress could enact a joint resolution to prohibit the issuance of export licenses for certain AI chips. To support Congressional review procedures, H.R. 6875 would require the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) to certify to the Congress that proposed licenses would not enhance the military or intelligence capabilities of foreign adversaries. The bill also would terminate any existing licenses for such chips approved by BIS prior to enactment.

BIS issued final rules that expand export controls to cover advanced AI chips. CBO anticipates that updating those regulations and preparing the necessary Congressional certifications and reports would increase the agency’s workload by the equivalent of two full-time positions. Based on information from BIS, CBO estimates that annual compensation for each of those employees would cost about $200,000 and total $2 million over the 2026-2030 period. Such spending would be subject to the availability of appropriated funds.

The costs of the legislation, detailed in Table 1, fall within budget function 050 (national defense).

Table 1. Estimated Increases in Spending Subject to Appropriation Under H.R. 6875
	By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars
	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2026-2030
Estimated Authorization	*	1	*	1	*	2
Estimated Outlays	*	1	*	1	*	2
* = between zero and $500,000.

Enacting H.R. 6875 would increase the number of export licenses that would be denied. As a result, more people and entities would be subject to civil or criminal penalties for violating U.S. export laws. Such penalties are recorded as revenues, and a portion of those penalties can be spent without further appropriation. Because CBO expects that very few additional people and entities would be affected, CBO estimates that enacting the bill would have insignificant effects on both revenues and direct spending and would reduce net deficits by less than $500,000.

The CBO staff contact for this estimate is Aldo Prosperi. The estimate was reviewed by Christina Hawley Anthony, Deputy Director of Budget Analysis.

Phillip L. Swagel Director, Congressional Budget Office

Phillip L. Swagel

Director, Congressional Budget Office

Data and Supplemental Information

Table 1