July 23, 2025 Presentation Presentation by Molly Dahl, CBO's Chief of Long-Term Analysis, at NBER's Summer Institute 2025: Economics of Social Security. View Document1.03 MB Summary Each year, CBO publishes its projections of what revenues and outlays for the Social Security program would be for the next 75 years if current laws generally remained unchanged. This presentation describes how research informs those projections.Challenges of Long-Term Social Security Forecasting from Congressional Budget Office Related Publications CBO’s Social Security ProjectionsMay 15, 2025 The Demographic Outlook: 2025 to 2055January 13, 2025 Effects of the Immigration Surge on the Federal Budget and the EconomyJuly 23, 2024
Each year, CBO publishes its projections of what revenues and outlays for the Social Security program would be for the next 75 years if current laws generally remained unchanged. This presentation describes how research informs those projections.Challenges of Long-Term Social Security Forecasting from Congressional Budget Office