H.R. 4070, Tren de Aragua Border Security Threat Assessment Act

July 21, 2025

Cost Estimate

As ordered reported by the House Committee on Homeland Security on June 25, 2025

H.R. 4070, Tren de Aragua Border Security Threat Assessment Act As ordered reported by the House Committee on Homeland Security on June 25, 2025
By Fiscal Year, Millions of Dollars		2025	2025-2030	2025-2035
Direct Spending (Outlays)		0	0	0
Revenues		0	0	0
Increase or Decrease (-) in the Deficit		0	0	0
Spending Subject to Appropriation (Outlays)		*	*	*
Increases net direct spending in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2036?	No	Statutory pay-as-you-go procedures apply?		No
	No	Mandate Effects
Increases on-budget deficits in any of the four consecutive 10-year periods beginning in 2036?	No	Contains intergovernmental mandate?		No
	No	Contains private-sector mandate?		No
* = between zero and $500,000.

H.R. 4070 would require the Department of Homeland Security to provide the Congress an assessment of the threat to U.S. border security posed by Tren de Aragua (a transnational criminal organization that originated in Venezuela). The bill also would require the department to submit a strategic plan to the Congress outlining the approach the United States should take to counter those threats.

On the basis of information about similar requirements, CBO estimates that implementing the bill would cost less than $500,000 over the 2025-2030 period. Such spending would be subject to the availability of appropriated funds.

The CBO staff contact for this estimate is David Rafferty. The estimate was reviewed by Christina Hawley Anthony, Deputy Director of Budget Analysis.

Phillip L. Swagel Director, Congressional Budget Office

Phillip L. Swagel

Director, Congressional Budget Office