CBO's Budget and Economic Outlook—usually produced in January each year and updated in August—includes projections of spending and revenues under current law over the next 10 years as well as an economic forecast for that period. CBO also typically prepares an update of its budget projections in March each year in conjunction with its analysis of the President's budgetary proposals. Those projections under current law provide the Congress with a benchmark against which to measure the effects of proposed changes in spending and tax laws.
Budget and Economic Outlook
Nov 2013 - CBO projects that DoD’s plans will cost 3.5 percent more to execute through 2018 than DoD estimates. Moreover, the costs of DoD’s plans for 2014 through 2021 would greatly exceed the limits established by the Budget Control Act.
Sep 2013 - Federal debt would grow to 100 percent of GDP by 2038 under current law, CBO projects, and would be on an upward path relative to the size of the economy—a trend that could not be sustained indefinitely.
May 2013 - A robust increase in revenues projected over the next few years will help shrink deficits through 2015. But deficits are projected to rise later in the decade, partly because of pressures of an aging population and rising health care costs.
Feb 2013 - Under current law, federal debt will stay at historically high levels relative to the economy, CBO projects. Economic growth will be slow in 2013 but pick up thereafter. Even so, the unemployment rate will be above 7.5 percent through 2014.
Nov 2012 - Putting the federal budget on a more sustainable path is likely to require a combination of policies, many of which may stand in stark contrast to policies now in place.
Nov 2012 - Significant tax increases and spending cuts are slated to take effect in January 2013, sharply reducing the federal budget deficit and causing, by CBO’s estimates, a decline in economic output and an increase in unemployment.
- presentationDecember 4, 2013
- reportNovember 20, 2013
- blog postNovember 13, 2013
- presentationNovember 13, 2013
- blog postNovember 6, 2013
- graphicOctober 24, 2013
Economic Effects in 2014 of Eliminating the Automatic Spending Reductions Specified in the Budget Control ActreportSeptember 26, 2013
- reportSeptember 26, 2013
Use this menu to filter CBO's publications by topic. From January 2011 forward, all the agency's products are categorized by topic. Cost estimates released prior to the 112th Congress are not categorized by topic.