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February 5, 2013
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Economic Projections
Twice a year, CBO publishes 10-year forecasts of economic activity conditioned on the federal spending and taxes that will occur under current law. For the beginning years of that span, each forecast incorporates the effect of the business cycle; for the later years of the span, each forecast relies on long-term trends in the labor force, saving, and productivity. CBO also makes long-term budget projections.
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Additional Data
- data underlying figures
- Tax Receipts
- Economic Baseline Projections from February 2013
- Historical Estimates of Potential GDP
- Historical Budget Data
- budget projections
- Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP
- Trust Fund Projections Under the Baseline
Supplemental Material
- Press Briefing on The Budget and Economic Outlook
Baseline Projections for Education
- Pell Grant Programs
- Student Loan Programs
Baseline Projections for Health
- Children's Health Insurance Program
- Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage
- Medicaid
- Medicare
Baseline Projections for Social Security and Pensions
- Military Retirement
- Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
- Social Security Disability Insurance
- Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
- Social Security Trust Fund
Baseline Projections for Other Income Security
- Child Nutrition Programs
- Child Support Collections
- Child Support Enforcement
- Foster Care and Adoption Assistance
- Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
- Supplemental Security Income
- Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
- Unemployment Compensation
Baseline Projections for Other Programs
- Federal Programs that Guarantee Mortgages
- Highway Trust Fund Accounts
- USDA Mandatory Farm Programs
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Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths
February 05, 2013 -
Choices for Deficit Reduction
November 08, 2012 -
An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022
August 22, 2012 -
The 2012 Long-Term Budget Outlook
June 05, 2012
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The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023
February 05, 2013 -
Choices for Deficit Reduction
November 08, 2012 -
Economic Effects of Policies Contributing to Fiscal Tightening in 2013
November 08, 2012 -
The Macroeconomic and Budgetary Effects of an Illustrative Policy for Reducing the Federal Budget Deficit
July 14, 2011
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Additional Data
- Data Underlying CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: 2013 Update
related publications
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An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022
August 22, 2012 -
CBO's Economic Forecasting Record: 2010 Update
July 15, 2010 -
What Is a Current-Law Economic Baseline?
June 02, 2005
Full Text
- printer-friendly version
- screen-friendly version
Supplemental Material
- Printer-Friendly Charts
- blog post
- Director's Press Briefing
Additional Data
- data underlying figures
- Budget Projections
- Economic Baseline Projections
- Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP
- Tax Receipts
- Expiring Tax Provisions
related publications
-
The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022
January 31, 2012 -
Updated Budget Projections: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022
March 13, 2012 -
Economic Consequences Infographic
August 22, 2012
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