Congressional Budget Office

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Congressional Budget Office

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Economic Projections

Twice a year, CBO publishes 10-year forecasts of economic activity conditioned on the federal spending and taxes that will occur under current law. For the beginning years of that span, each forecast incorporates the effect of the business cycle; for the later years of the span, each forecast relies on long-term trends in the labor force, saving, and productivity. CBO also makes long-term budget projections.

monthly archive

  • May 2013 (2)
  • April 2013 (14)
  • March 2013 (22)
  • February 2013 (10)
  • January 2013 (11)
  • December 2012 (4)
  • November 2012 (10)
  • October 2012 (4)
  • September 2012 (6)
  • August 2012 (5)
  • July 2012 (11)
  • June 2012 (8)
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Changes in Discretionary Funding During the Past Few Years

posted by Doug Elmendorf on March 26, 2013

monthly archive

  • May 2013 (2)
  • April 2013 (14)
  • March 2013 (22)
  • February 2013 (10)
  • January 2013 (11)
  • December 2012 (4)
  • November 2012 (10)
  • October 2012 (4)
  • September 2012 (6)
  • August 2012 (5)
  • July 2012 (11)
  • June 2012 (8)
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CBO Testifies on the Budget and Economic Outlook

blog post

February 15, 2013


related publications


  • The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

    February 05, 2013
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Testimony on the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

report

February 13, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 196 kb)

related publications


  • The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

    February 05, 2013
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Testimony on the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

report

February 12, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 194 kb)

monthly archive

  • May 2013 (2)
  • April 2013 (14)
  • March 2013 (22)
  • February 2013 (10)
  • January 2013 (11)
  • December 2012 (4)
  • November 2012 (10)
  • October 2012 (4)
  • September 2012 (6)
  • August 2012 (5)
  • July 2012 (11)
  • June 2012 (8)
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Economic Growth Is Likely to Be Slow in 2013 and Pick Up in Later Years

posted by Doug Elmendorf on February 7, 2013

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  • printer-friendly version
  • Additional Data

  • data underlying figures
  • Tax Receipts
  • economic baseline projections
  • Historical Estimates of Potential GDP
  • historical budget data
  • budget projections
  • key assumptions in projecting potential gdp
  • Trust Fund Projections Under the Baseline
  • Supplemental Material

  • Press Briefing on The Budget and Economic Outlook
  • Baseline Projections for Education

  • Pell Grant Programs
  • Student Loan Programs
  • Baseline Projections for Health

  • Children's Health Insurance Program
  • Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage
  • Medicaid
  • Medicare
  • Baseline Projections for Social Security and Pensions

  • Military Retirement
  • Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
  • Social Security Disability Insurance
  • Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
  • Social Security Trust Fund
  • Baseline Projections for Other Income Security

  • Child Nutrition Programs
  • Child Support Collections
  • Child Support Enforcement
  • Foster Care and Adoption Assistance
  • Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
  • Supplemental Security Income
  • Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
  • Unemployment Compensation
  • Baseline Projections for Other Programs

  • Federal Programs that Guarantee Mortgages
  • Highway Trust Fund Accounts
  • USDA Mandatory Farm Programs

related publications


  • Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths

    February 05, 2013
  • Choices for Deficit Reduction

    November 08, 2012
  • An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022

    August 22, 2012
  • The 2012 Long-Term Budget Outlook

    June 05, 2012
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The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

report

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 846 kb)

  • Full Text

  • printer-friendly version
  • screen-friendly version

related publications


  • The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

    February 05, 2013
  • Choices for Deficit Reduction

    November 08, 2012
  • Economic Effects of Policies Contributing to Fiscal Tightening in 2013

    November 08, 2012
  • The Macroeconomic and Budgetary Effects of an Illustrative Policy for Reducing the Federal Budget Deficit

    July 14, 2011
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Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths

report

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 252 kb)

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Baseline Economic Forecast—February 2013 Baseline Projections

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 142 kb)

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Estimates of Potential GDP and the Related Unemployment Rate, January 1991 to February 2013

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 536 kb)

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Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP—February 2013 Baseline

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls,  kb)

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