Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
- Blog Post
CBO to Release Budget and Economic Outlook on February 7
CBO will release "The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2024 to 2034" at 2 p.m. EST on February 7.
- Report
CBO’s Current View of the Economy and the Implications for the Federal Budget and for Workers
CBO responds to questions about the agency's current view of economic growth and interest rates and the implications of that view for the federal budget—as well as about the implications of inflation for workers.
- Report
The Accuracy of CBO’s Budget Projections for Fiscal Year 2023
In its May 2022 projections for fiscal year 2023, CBO overestimated revenues by 11 percent and underestimated outlays by 9 percent. CBO’s projection of the federal deficit for 2023 was less than the actual amount by 3.9 percent of GDP.
- Presentation
CBO’s Role and Most Recent Long-Term Budget Projections
Presentation by Molly Dahl, Chief of CBO’s Long-Term Analysis Unit, at a meeting of the National Conference of State Legislatures’ Budget Working Group.
- Presentation
CBO’s Analysis of the Long-Term Budgetary Outlook
Presentation by Molly Dahl, CBO’s Long-Term Analysis Unit Chief, at the University of Michigan’s 71st Annual Economic Outlook Conference.
- Blog Post
Presentation on the Fiscal Outlook
CBO’s Director Phillip Swagel discusses the presentation he gave Thursday on the fiscal outlook at a Federal Bar Association conference.
- Report
Federal Budgetary Effects of the Activities of the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation
CBO estimates that the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation’s (CMMI’s) activities increased federal spending between 2011 and 2020 and will also increase it from 2021 to 2030. In 2010, CBO projected that CMMI would produce savings.
- Report
CBO’s Long-Term Projections of Gross Federal Debt
In response to a request from Budget Committee Chairman Jodey Arrington, CBO provides information about the agency’s long-term projections of gross federal debt. By the end of 2053, such debt is projected to reach 192 percent of GDP.
- Blog Post
Latest Presentations
CBO Director Phillip Swagel discusses his most recent presentations on the U.S. economic and fiscal outlook.
- Report
CBO’s Projections of Federal Receipts and Expenditures in the National Income and Product Accounts: 2023 to 2033
This report presents CBO’s projections of revenues and outlays for the 2023–2033 period translated into the framework of the national income and product accounts and their categories of current receipts and expenditures.