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Long-Term Economic Trends

In addition to its work on the outlook for the federal budget over the next 10 years, CBO also analyzes how specific current policies, such as Social Security and Medicare, affect the outlook for the federal budget over a longer time horizon. That analysis is less concerned with economic developments over the next few years and more concerned with the underlying trends in such economic factors as the labor force, productivity, and the costs of health care.
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Uncertainty of CBO's Projections of the Budget Deficit or Surplus Under Current Policies - February 2005

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February 2, 2004


Abstract

Figure 1, Uncertainty of CBO's Projections of the Budget Deficit or Surplus Under Current Policies

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Projected long-term spending and revenues - December 2003

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December 1, 2003

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Abstract

Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios

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Projected long-term spending and revenues - December 2003

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December 1, 2003

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Abstract

Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios.

These spreadsheets reflect CBO's estimates, assumptions, and projections at the time the associated publication was released; that is, the spreadsheets are not continuously updated.

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The Long-Term Budget Outlook

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December 1, 2003

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Testimony on the Economic Costs of Long-Term Federal Obligations

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July 24, 2003

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Uncertainty of CBO's Projections of the Budget Deficit or Surplus Under Current Policies - April 2003

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April 1, 2003


Abstract

Figure 1, Uncertainty of CBO's Projections of the Budget Deficit or Surplus Under Current Policies

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Uncertainty in Social Security's Long-Term Finances: A Stochastic Analysis

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December 1, 2001

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The Long-Term Budget Outlook

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October 1, 2000

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The Long-Term Budget Outlook: An Update

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December 14, 1999

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Long-Term Budgetary Pressures and Policy Options

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May 1, 1998

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