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Long-Term Economic Trends

In addition to its work on the outlook for the federal budget over the next 10 years, CBO also analyzes how specific current policies, such as Social Security and Medicare, affect the outlook for the federal budget over a longer time horizon. That analysis is less concerned with economic developments over the next few years and more concerned with the underlying trends in such economic factors as the labor force, productivity, and the costs of health care.
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Projected long-term spending and revenues - December 2005

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December 1, 2005

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The Long-Term Budget Outlook

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December 1, 2005

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Background Paper: Quantifying Uncertainty in the Analysis of Long-Term Social Security Projections

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November 1, 2005

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Long-Term Economic Effects of Chronically Large Federal Deficits

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October 13, 2005

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The Effects of S. 662 on the Long-Term Financial Outlook of the U.S. Postal Service

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September 1, 2005

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Testimony on the Cost and Financing of Long-Term Care Services

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April 27, 2005

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Testimony on the Cost and Financing of Long-Term Care Services

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April 19, 2005

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Long-Term Budget Simulations: Fiscal Impacts of Two Different Tax Policies

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March 14, 2005

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Testimony on the Economic Costs of Long-Term Federal Obligations

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February 16, 2005

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Long-Term Analysis of the Diamond-Orszag Social Security Plan

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December 22, 2004

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