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Long-Term Economic Trends

In addition to its work on the outlook for the federal budget over the next 10 years, CBO also analyzes how specific current policies, such as Social Security and Medicare, affect the outlook for the federal budget over a longer time horizon. That analysis is less concerned with economic developments over the next few years and more concerned with the underlying trends in such economic factors as the labor force, productivity, and the costs of health care.

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The Long-Term Outlook for Health Care Spending

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November 27, 2007

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The Long-Term Outlook for Health Care Spending

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November 13, 2007

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Long-Term Spending on Entitlement Programs

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March 8, 2007

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Opening Remarks at the Director's Conference on Long-Term Budget Challenges

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December 8, 2006

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Updated Long-Term Projections for Social Security

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June 1, 2006

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Long-Term Analysis of S. 2427, the Sustainable Solvency First for Social Security Act of 2006

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April 5, 2006

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Long-Term Analysis of the Liebman-MacGuineas-Samwick Social Security Proposal

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February 8, 2006

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Projected long-term spending and revenues - December 2005

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December 1, 2005

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Abstract

Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios.

These spreadsheets reflect CBO's estimates, assumptions, and projections at the time the associated publication was released; that is, the spreadsheets are not continuously updated.

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The Long-Term Budget Outlook

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December 1, 2005

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Background Paper: Quantifying Uncertainty in the Analysis of Long-Term Social Security Projections

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November 1, 2005

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