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Long-Term Economic Trends

In addition to its work on the outlook for the federal budget over the next 10 years, CBO also analyzes how specific current policies, such as Social Security and Medicare, affect the outlook for the federal budget over a longer time horizon. That analysis is less concerned with economic developments over the next few years and more concerned with the underlying trends in such economic factors as the labor force, productivity, and the costs of health care.
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Projected long-term spending and revenues - June 2009

data or technical information

June 16, 2009

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Abstract

Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios

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  • social security update

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Updated Long-Term Projections for Social Security

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August 21, 2008


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Long-Term Effects of Indexing the Alternative Minimum Tax and Extending the Tax Reductions of 2001 and 2003

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July 17, 2008

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The Long-Term Budget Outlook and Options for Slowing the Growth of Health Care Costs

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June 17, 2008

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The Long-Term Economic Effects of Some Alternative Budget Policies

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May 19, 2008

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The Long-Term Budgetary Effects of Three Specified Policy Scenarios

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March 14, 2008

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  • Additional Data

  • Revenues and Spending Excluding Interest
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The Long-Term Budget Outlook

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December 13, 2007

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  • charts to accompany the testimony
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Testimony on the Long-Term Budget Outlook

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December 13, 2007

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Projected long-term spending and revenues - December 2007

data or technical information

December 1, 2007

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Abstract

Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios.

These spreadsheets reflect CBO's estimates, assumptions, and projections at the time the associated publication was released; that is, the spreadsheets are not continuously updated.

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Projected long-term spending and revenues - December 2007

data or technical information

December 1, 2007

read complete document  (xls,  kb)

Abstract

Projected long-term spending and revenues, year by year, under six long-term budget scenarios; economic factors underlying the scenarios

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