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Economy

CBO regularly assesses the state of the economy and the impact on the economy of proposed changes in federal spending and taxes. Analysts prepare economic projections that underlie CBO’s projections for the federal budget and cost estimates for proposed legislation; study major aspects of the economy such as trends in productivity and long-term unemployment; and examine the economic impact of changes in the nation’s tax system or reforms to federal programs.

Sub-Topics:

  • Analysis of the President's Budget
  • Budget and Economic Outlook
  • Economic Projections
  • Economic Stimulus
  • International Trade and Finance
  • Long-Term Economic Trends
  • NAFTA
  • Supplemental Material

  • Video of Director's Press Briefing

related publications


  • The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

    February 05, 2013
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Press Briefing on The Budget and Economic Outlook

presentation

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 894 kb)

  • Full Text

  • printer-friendly version
  • Additional Data

  • data underlying figures
  • Tax Receipts
  • Economic Baseline Projections from February 2013
  • Historical Estimates of Potential GDP
  • Historical Budget Data
  • budget projections
  • Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP
  • Trust Fund Projections Under the Baseline
  • Supplemental Material

  • Press Briefing on The Budget and Economic Outlook
  • Baseline Projections for Education

  • Pell Grant Programs
  • Student Loan Programs
  • Baseline Projections for Health

  • Children's Health Insurance Program
  • Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage
  • Medicaid
  • Medicare
  • Baseline Projections for Social Security and Pensions

  • Military Retirement
  • Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
  • Social Security Disability Insurance
  • Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
  • Social Security Trust Fund
  • Baseline Projections for Other Income Security

  • Child Nutrition Programs
  • Child Support Collections
  • Child Support Enforcement
  • Foster Care and Adoption Assistance
  • Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
  • Supplemental Security Income
  • Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
  • Unemployment Compensation
  • Baseline Projections for Other Programs

  • Federal Programs that Guarantee Mortgages
  • Highway Trust Fund Accounts
  • USDA Mandatory Farm Programs

related publications


  • Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths

    February 05, 2013
  • Choices for Deficit Reduction

    November 08, 2012
  • An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022

    August 22, 2012
  • The 2012 Long-Term Budget Outlook

    June 05, 2012
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The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

report

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 846 kb)

  • Full Text

  • printer-friendly version
  • screen-friendly version

related publications


  • The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023

    February 05, 2013
  • Choices for Deficit Reduction

    November 08, 2012
  • Economic Effects of Policies Contributing to Fiscal Tightening in 2013

    November 08, 2012
  • The Macroeconomic and Budgetary Effects of an Illustrative Policy for Reducing the Federal Budget Deficit

    July 14, 2011
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Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths

report

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 252 kb)

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Baseline Economic Forecast—February 2013 Baseline Projections

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 142 kb)

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Estimates of Potential GDP and the Related Unemployment Rate, January 1991 to February 2013

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 539 kb)

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Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP—February 2013 Baseline

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls,  kb)

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Individual Income Tax Receipts and the Individual Tax Base—February 2013 Baseline

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 78 kb)

  • Full Text

  • document
  • printer-friendly data
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Historical Budget Data—February 2013

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 147 kb)

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Budget Projections—February 2013 Baseline Projections

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (xls, 188 kb)

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Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance—February 2013 Baseline

data or technical information

February 5, 2013

read complete document  (pdf, 224 kb)

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