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February 5, 2013
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Budget Projections
CBO’s budget projections under current law—known as baseline projections—give the Congress a benchmark against which to measure the effects of proposed changes spending and taxes. The projections show what would happen to the federal budget if current laws remained in place, that is if no new laws affecting spending and taxes were enacted during the projection period. In addition, the agency regularly shows the effects of adopting alternative policies that have been discussed by the Congress, so that the impact of those alternative policies is clear. CBO also makes long-term budget projections.
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Additional Data
- data underlying figures
- Tax Receipts
- Economic Baseline Projections from February 2013
- Historical Estimates of Potential GDP
- Historical Budget Data
- budget projections
- Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP
- Trust Fund Projections Under the Baseline
Supplemental Material
- Press Briefing on The Budget and Economic Outlook
Baseline Projections for Education
- Pell Grant Programs
- Student Loan Programs
Baseline Projections for Health
- Children's Health Insurance Program
- Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Insurance Coverage
- Medicaid
- Medicare
Baseline Projections for Social Security and Pensions
- Military Retirement
- Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
- Social Security Disability Insurance
- Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
- Social Security Trust Fund
Baseline Projections for Other Income Security
- Child Nutrition Programs
- Child Support Collections
- Child Support Enforcement
- Foster Care and Adoption Assistance
- Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
- Supplemental Security Income
- Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
- Unemployment Compensation
Baseline Projections for Other Programs
- Federal Programs that Guarantee Mortgages
- Highway Trust Fund Accounts
- USDA Mandatory Farm Programs
related publications
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Macroeconomic Effects of Alternative Budgetary Paths
February 05, 2013 -
Choices for Deficit Reduction
November 08, 2012 -
An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022
August 22, 2012 -
The 2012 Long-Term Budget Outlook
June 05, 2012
related publications
-
The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2013 to 2023
February 05, 2013 -
Choices for Deficit Reduction
November 08, 2012 -
Economic Effects of Policies Contributing to Fiscal Tightening in 2013
November 08, 2012 -
The Macroeconomic and Budgetary Effects of an Illustrative Policy for Reducing the Federal Budget Deficit
July 14, 2011