Documentation of Social Security Models

Technical Paper 2004-03: Analyzing an Aging Population--A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach
February 2004pdf
A description of the model used to analyze the macroeconomic effects of Social Security policy proposals.

Technical Paper 2004-01: Overview of the Congressional Budget Office Long-Term (CBOLT) Policy Simulation Model
January 2004pdf
An overview of CBO's main Social Security model.

Technical Paper 2003-08: Alternative Methods for Projecting Equity Returns: Implications for Evaluating Social Security Reform Proposals
August 2003pdf

Technical Paper 2003-02: Projecting Longitudinal Earnings Patterns for Long-Run Policy Analysis
April 2003pdf
A description of the method used in CBO's main Social Security model to project an individuals annual earnings.

Technical Paper 2002-3: Mate Matching for Microsimulation Models
November 2002pdf
A description of the method used in CBO's main Social Security model to simulate who marries whom--which has important implications for projections of benefit levels.

Technical Paper 2002-2: Projecting Longitudinal Marriage Patterns for Long-Run Policy Analysis
October 2002pdf
A description of the method used in CBO's main Social Security model to project an individual's marital status.