CBO’s forecasts generally have been comparable in quality to those of the Administration and the Blue Chip consensus, with large errors by CBO tending to reflect difficulties shared by other forecasters.
CBO Blog
Businesses have become increasingly likely to choose the organizational structure that offers more favorable tax treatment. As a result, revenues are lower than they would otherwise be, but incentives for investment are probably greater.
For the latter half of its 10-year projection period, CBO projects that actual output will grow at the same rate as potential output but fall short of potential output by about half a percent, on average—matching its long-term average gap.
The federal government ran a budget deficit of $195 billion for the first four months of fiscal year 2015, CBO estimates—$12 billion more than the shortfall recorded in the same span last year.
CBO examines the effect of energy savings performance contracts (ESPCs) on the energy usage and energy costs of federal agencies, and on the federal budget.
CBO Director Doug Elmendorf presents testimony about CBO’s latest report on the budget and economic outlook before the Committee on the Budget, United States Senate.
Testimony by Matthew Goldberg, Deputy Assistant Director of CBO’s National Security Division, before the Committee on Veterans’ Affairs’s Subcommittee on Health, U.S. House of Representatives.
CBO Director Doug Elmendorf presents testimony about CBO’s latest report on the budget and economic outlook before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. House of Representatives.
This afternoon we released our annual report on the outlook for the budget and the economy. In a briefing for the press, I delivered the following summary of our analysis, with accompanying slides shown below).
Under current law, the deficit is projected to hold steady as a percentage of GDP through 2018, but rise thereafter, raising the already high federal debt. The rate of economic growth is projected to be solid in 2015 and the next few years.