CBO estimates that, all told, the TARP’s transactions will cost the federal government $27 billion. That estimate accounts for the realized costs of completed transactions and the estimated costs of outstanding and anticipated transactions.
Enacting the President’s proposals would, CBO and JCT estimate, result in deficits totaling $6.6 trillion between 2015 and 2024, $1.0 trillion less than the cumulative deficit in CBO’s current-law baseline.
The deficit will decrease to $492 billion in 2014, CBO projects. But under current law, deficits will begin rising again in 2016—and by 2024, debt will reach 78 percent of GDP, twice the average of the past 40 years.
Under budgetary paths, but not particular policies, specified by Chairman Ryan, total deficits and debt would be smaller than under CBO’s extended baseline. Economic output would be lower in the next few years but higher thereafter.